Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000771 0.000881 0.000996 0.001128 0.001273 0.001427 0.001602
2024-12-29 0.000589 0.000738 0.000908 0.001112 0.001352 0.001621 0.001944
2025-01-05 0.000500 0.000667 0.000865 0.001115 0.001418 0.001770 0.002207
2025-01-12 0.000423 0.000599 0.000816 0.001100 0.001457 0.001883 0.002427
2025-01-19 0.000361 0.000540 0.000770 0.001080 0.001480 0.001972 0.002613
2025-01-26 0.000328 0.000514 0.000760 0.001103 0.001556 0.002124 0.002878
2025-02-02 0.000298 0.000488 0.000749 0.001121 0.001624 0.002266 0.003133
2025-02-09 0.000261 0.000448 0.000714 0.001103 0.001640 0.002340 0.003300
2025-02-16 0.000228 0.000411 0.000678 0.001080 0.001649 0.002402 0.003451
2025-02-23 0.000209 0.000393 0.000669 0.001093 0.001704 0.002525 0.003685
2025-03-02 0.000191 0.000374 0.000656 0.001100 0.001750 0.002637 0.003905
2025-03-09 0.000166 0.000341 0.000621 0.001071 0.001743 0.002675 0.004023
2025-03-16 0.000144 0.000311 0.000586 0.001041 0.001733 0.002709 0.004140
2025-03-23 0.000129 0.000292 0.000570 0.001037 0.001763 0.002799 0.004335
2025-03-30 0.000117 0.000276 0.000556 0.001036 0.001794 0.002891 0.004535
2025-04-06 0.000104 0.000258 0.000535 0.001024 0.001807 0.002956 0.004697
2025-04-13 0.000091 0.000238 0.000511 0.001004 0.001807 0.003002 0.004831
2025-04-20 0.000086 0.000233 0.000513 0.001026 0.001873 0.003145 0.005108
2025-04-27 0.000080 0.000226 0.000512 0.001043 0.001932 0.003278 0.005373
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.000210 0.000491 0.001026 0.001934 0.003327 0.005514
2025-05-11 0.000062 0.000194 0.000470 0.001004 0.001929 0.003363 0.005636
2025-05-18 0.000057 0.000188 0.000467 0.001016 0.001978 0.003483 0.005886
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.000181 0.000461 0.001023 0.002018 0.003590 0.006117